The global energy outlook of various energy think tank analysts began in the early 1970s.At a time when the Middle East crisis has led to high oil prices, major energy consumers have realized that a mature forecasting model is needed to make energy planning and energy policies.Every year, the international energy organization, major oil companies and energy consulting agencies release dozens of global energy prospects according to their respective prediction model systems. Based on the prediction of global economic trends, the paper analyzes medium - and long-term trends of world energy development.
Since the beginning of this year, the international energy agency (IEA), the U.S. energy information administration (EIA), OPEC, BP, exxon mobil, China petroleum economics and technology research institute (ETRI), IHS, Norwegian ship classification society, etc., have released the 2018 global energy outlook, which has attracted wide attention from the industry.
Today's energy outlook not only predicts future energy development scenarios, but also affects future energy trends, especially at the "crossroads" of today's global energy landscape transformation.
By summarizing and comparing the energy outlook of different institutions and seeking common features among different institutions, it is more helpful for us to grasp new trends and have a clear aim for future energy development.
Trend 1: growth in energy demand slows
Trend 2: energy pattern "four under the heaven"
Trend 3: oil use to move faster to non-combustion areas
Trend 4: natural gas consumption is shifting
Trend 5: the renewable energy bottleneck is being broken one by one